Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 6

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académica Coimbra		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.87	Watch
	2.65	3	2.6
	2.41	3.03	3.35
	2.41	3.03	3.35
	2.23	3.13	3.05
	2.23	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	3.04 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
39.1%

Draw
30.4%

Alverca
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Académica Coimbra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Alves C. (G) 12. Vitinha 6. Aloisio Neto 13. Amaro D. 75. Costa D. 11. Teles D. 42. Tavares A. 17. Henrique L. 19. Veiga T. 9. Perea J. 79. Silva J.	98. Joao Bravim (G) 44. Gomes C. 33. Venaque 4. Oliveira A. 95. Sagna P. 25. Dias R. 88. Martins D. 90. Vitor Bruno 16. Pires M. 17. Costa J. 21. Harramiz S.
Substitutes
33. Gabriel V. 16. Gomes V. 10. Lourenco F. 4. Obiora N. 20. Resende J. 30. Rodrigues M. 91. Santos B. (G) 77. Seco H. 18. Stitch	28. Hachadi K. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 23. Iago Oliveira 6. Luiz Miguel 8. Pinto G. 20. Salomao D. 19. Silva R. 14. Varela J. 5. Ze Oliveira

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Recent matches Académica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Académica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Felgueiras - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLTT
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.24	Alverca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Varzim - Alverca	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Felgueiras - Alverca	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Alverca - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Braga B - Alverca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.11.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	2:0
12.08.23	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	1:2
25.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Alverca	1:2
13.11.22	Alverca - Académica Coimbra	4:0

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