Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Soares Dias A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Académico de Viseu		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.58	3.6	5
	1.44	4	6.4
	1.51	3.85	5.6
	1.69	3.86	5.35
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.74	5.15
	1.58	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	5.34 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
58.3%

Draw
24.5%

Covilhã
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

23.9%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

24.7%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académico de Viseu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Académico de Viseu - Covilhã Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viseu: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viseu won 2.

Recent matches Viseu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Covilhã is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Viseu is absolute favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Viseu won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Viseu won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
12.03.23	Mafra - Académico de Viseu	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Académico de Viseu - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Farense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWTW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
12.03.23	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Nacional - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Covilhã - Farense	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Penafiel - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Covilhã - Tondela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:3
24.01.22	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:1
15.08.21	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:1
22.05.21	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	3:2
03.03.21	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:1
16.02.20	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	0:1
01.09.19	Académico de Viseu - Covilhã	1:3

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