Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)


	Notts County		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.75	6	Watch
	1.48	4.86	6.37
	1.4	4.2	5.8
	1.46	4.7	6.1	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.43)	4.59 ↓ (4.63)	6.1 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
64.2%

Draw
20.5%

Forest Green Rovers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

20.5%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Notts County - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Stone A. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 2. Brindley R. 4. Cameron K. (C) 10. Jones J. 16. Bostock J. 18. Palmer M. 8. Austin S. 7. Crowley D. 9. Langstaff M. 17. McGoldrick D.	1. Daniels L. (G) 3. Bernard D. (C) 5. Inniss R. 22. Welch R. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 8. McCann C. 29. Brown R. 6. Jenks T. 14. Deeney T. 9. Stevens M.
Substitutes
21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 23. Chicksen A. 27. Morias J. 6. O'Brien J. 14. Randall W. 5. Rawlinson C. 1. Slocombe S. (G)	12. Bendle A. 27. Bunker H. 4. Johnson D. 2. Lavinier M. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G) 10. Taylor M.
Coaches
Williams L.	Horseman D.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).

Notts County is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
15.09.23	Salford City - Notts County	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.09.23	Notts County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:2 ✺
English League Two
09.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Notts County - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
16.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	AFC Wimbledon - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.02.19	Forest Green Rovers - Notts County	1:2
01.09.18	Notts County - Forest Green Rovers	1:3
10.03.18	Forest Green Rovers - Notts County	1:2
07.10.17	Notts County - Forest Green Rovers	1:1

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