Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	2.05
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.84	3.36	2.08
	3.84	3.36	2.07
	3.6	3.4	2
	3.7	3.46	2.03	Watch
	3.55	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.38)	3.38 (3.38)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
25.7%

Draw
27.9%

Oxford United
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marosi M. (G) 5. Feeney M. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 33. Flanagan T. 3. Benning M. 18. Bloxham T. 7. Winchester C. 14. Perry T. 8. Hinchy J. 21. O'Brien A. 11. Udoh D.	1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. 3. Brown C. 12. Bennett J. 30. Dale O. 8. Brannagan C. 20. Rodrigues R. 10. Bodin B. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
17. Bennett E. 9. Bowman R. 13. Burgoyne H. (G) 12. Idowu R. 19. Price J. 15. Sobowale T. 6. Sraha J.	11. Browne M. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 17. Henry J. 22. Leigh G. 6. McEachran J. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Hurst P.	Buckingham D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Bodin B. ⚽, Harris M. (A),
67', Winchester C. 🟨,
67', Rodrigues R. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
68', Harris M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
71', O'Brien A. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
71', Bloxham T. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
71', Hinchy J. ↓, Price J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Price J. ⚽,
87', Flanagan T. 🟨,
87', Price J. 🟨,
87', Bodin B. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
87', Dale O. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
89', Perry T. ↓, Bennett E. ↑,
90+2', Marosi M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
16.03.24	Shrewsbury Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
12.03.24	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Port Vale - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Oxford United
English League One
16.03.24	Port Vale - Oxford United	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	5:0 ✺
09.03.24	Oxford United - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Oxford United - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
03.10.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	3:0
04.02.23	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
09.11.22	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	1:1
12.03.22	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	1:2
19.10.21	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0
01.05.21	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	2:3
13.04.21	Oxford United - Shrewsbury Town	4:1

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