Match Info

Cymru South - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Caerau Ely		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.05	11	17
	1.03	18.9	21.58
	1.04	14.7	25.46	Watch
	1.04	15	26
	1.04	15	26
	1.03	6.5	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)	13.52 ↑ (9.75)	22.34 ↑ (21.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
89%

Draw
6.8%

Cwmbran Celtic
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

9.3%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cwmbran Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Caerau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caerau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caerau is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Caerau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	0:5 ✺
10.03.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Caerau Ely - Carmarthen Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
06.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Ynyshir Albions	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	0:2
03.01.25	Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic	1:2
05.10.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	3:2
12.01.24	Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic	4:2
21.10.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	3:2

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