Match Info

Cymru South - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Trefelin		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	4.85
	1.56	4.47	4.84	Watch
	1.51	4.2	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.31 ↓ (4.47)	4.89 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
60%

Draw
21.2%

Pontypridd United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

20.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Trefelin - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Piper R. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Brock T. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 14).

Trefelin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pontypridd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trefelin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trefelin is a strong favorite.

We predict that Trefelin will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trefelin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Trefelin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Cambrian United - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Trefelin - Afan Lido	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWT
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Pontypridd United - Cefn Cribwr	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
11.10.25	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pontypridd United - Treowen Stars	5:2 ✺
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
30.11.24	Pontypridd United - Trefelin	4:2
06.08.24	Trefelin - Pontypridd United	2:3
08.04.22	Pontypridd United - Trefelin	2:1

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