Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 9 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)
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 |
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Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense |
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.41 |
4 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.8 |
6.1 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.8 |
6.83 |
|
 |
1.86 |
2.70 |
5.81 |
 Watch |
 |
1.55 |
4.14 |
5.43 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.55 |
4.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.77) |
3.67 ↑
(3.33) |
5.85 ↑
(4.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
58.9% | Draw
25.3% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviário Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - ASA (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 79', 1 - 0, Thiago Alagoano ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Jailson ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.ASA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ferroviário is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 02.08.25 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 0:1 | | Brazilian Copa do Nordeste | | | 06.01.24 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 1:2 penalties | | 05.01.23 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 2:1 penalties |
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