Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie)

Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)


	Airdrieonians		Livingston

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.8	1.65	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.62
	5	3.8	1.65	Watch
	5.26	3.87	1.7
	5.28	3.74	1.64	Watch
	5	3.6	1.65
	5.19	3.72	1.61	Watch
	5	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (4.79)	3.74 ↓ (3.74)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
18.7%

Draw
24.8%

Livingston
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

24.9%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Airdrieonians - Livingston Predictions

Users Predictions: Livingston will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Melrose C. (G) 2. MacDonald D. 5. Wilson A. 29. Bannon A. 23. Strapp L. 6. McMaster D. 17. McGrattan L. 10. Frizzell A. 18. Gallagher G. 7. Wilson B. 9. Reid A.	28. Prior J. (G) 12. Brandon J. 5. McGowan R. 27. Wilson D. 26. Montano C. 6. McAlear R. 25. Tait M. 10. Kelly S. 23. Muirhead R. 22. Shinnie A. 9. Yengi T.
Substitutes
44. Armstrong R. 14. Bruce C. 11. Diack R. 25. Graham S. 3. Hancock M. 8. McGregor L. 12. McStravick L. 24. Mochrie C. R. 30. Wright K. (G)	3. Clarke M. 19. Finlayson D. 11. Fraser R. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 17. May S. 21. Nottingham M. 8. Pittman S. 15. Smith L. 20. Ubochioma M.
Coaches
McCabe R.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Reid A. ↓, Diack R. ↑,
22', 1 - 0, McMaster D. ⚽, Gallagher G. (A),
25', Wilson A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Muirhead R. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Wilson B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', McAlear R. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
60', Brandon J. ↓, Finlayson D. ↑,
60', Yengi T. ↓, May S. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Wilson D. ⚽, Muirhead R. (A),
74', Wilson B. ↓, Mochrie C. R. ↑,
74', Diack R. ↓, McGregor L. ↑,
74', Shinnie A. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
74', Montano C. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Kelly S. ⚽,
82', Muirhead R. 🟨,
83', Strapp L. 🟨,
85', May S. 🟨,
85', 3 - 3, McStravick L. ⚽, Wilson A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Airdrieonians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Livingston is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 11:42 (average 0.7:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish Football Championship
08.03.25	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Airdrieonians - Falkirk	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Ayr United - Airdrieonians	4:1 ✺
25.02.25	Airdrieonians - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Partick Thistle - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLWT
- Livingston FC
Scottish Cup
10.03.25	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
05.03.25	Livingston - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ayr United - Livingston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
14.01.25	Livingston - Airdrieonians	2:1
17.12.24	Airdrieonians - Livingston	0:3
28.09.24	Livingston - Airdrieonians	2:1
Scottish League Cup
14.11.20	Livingston - Airdrieonians	4:1
14.07.18	Airdrieonians - Livingston	1:2
22.07.17	Livingston - Airdrieonians	2:0
Scottish League One
25.03.17	Livingston - Airdrieonians	4:2

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