The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 11.5%
Draw 18.5%
Olympique Marseille 70%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.1%
19.3%
68.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
21.2%
75.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
4%
80%
Ajaccio - Olympique Marseille Predictions
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(20 of 25 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% โ 95.68%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leroy B. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 25. Gonzalez O. 15. Vidal C. 3. Diallo I. 6. Coutadeur M. (C) 14. Bayala C. 4. Barreto M. 8. Marchetti V. 5. Nouri R. 33. Toure B.
36. Blanco R. (G) 99. Mbemba Ch. 5. Balerdi L. 23. Kolasinac S. 29. Kabore I. 6. Guendouzi M. (C) 27. Veretout J. 7. Clauss J. 17. Under C. 18. Malinovsky R. 70. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
21. Avinel C. 38. Chegra I. 35. Khelifa A. 23. Mangani T. 37. Puch-Herrantz M. G. M. 16. Sollacaro F. (G) 34. Soumano M. 27. Spadanuda K. 31. Strata T.
3. Bailly E. 47. Elmaz B. 16. Lopez P. (G) 33. Mughe F. R. 30. Tavares N. 9. Vitinha
Coaches
Pantaloni O.
Tudor I.
Preview
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (67.92%), project points - 24, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Marseille has the most likely position - 3 (100%), project points - 75, currently - 73, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for ucl, not chance of win league.
This event has quality50, very small importance0, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Marseille is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Marseille is certain favorite.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Belaili Y.
(Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Mayembo F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Marseille: Gigot S.
(Knock)
Harit A.
(Knee Injury)
Ounahi A.
(Finger Injury)
Payet D.
(Suspended)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.