Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 37

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	Nova Sports
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Turkey	beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Lens		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	21	Watch
	1.15	8	19.5
	1.13	8	21	Watch
	1.14	8	21
	1.14	8.75	22.8
	1.1	7	15
	1.14	8.2	21	Watch
	1.15	8.2	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.21)	7.89 ↑ (6.34)	20.29 ↑ (14.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lens
83.3%

Draw
12%

Ajaccio
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

15%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Lens - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: Lens will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lens has the most likely position - 2 (98.82%), project points - 82, currently - 78, not chance of relegated, already of qualify for ucl, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (75.81%), project points - 24, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 51, very small importance 0, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 2.

Lens in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lens is certain favorite.

There will not play in Lens: Cabot J. (Knee Injury) Farinez W. (Knee Injury) Fortes S. (Coach's decision) Pandor Y. (Injury) Said W. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Alphonse M. (Red Card) Belaili Y. (Injury) Cimignani Y. (Injury) Hamouma R. (Injury) Mangani T. (Red Card) Marchetti V. (Injury) Mayembo F. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lens won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
21.05.23	Lorient - Lens	1:3 ✺
12.05.23	Lens - Reims	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Toulouse - Lens	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Lens - Monaco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
21.05.23	Ajaccio - Rennes	0:5 ✺
13.05.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Ajaccio	5:0 ✺
07.05.23	Ajaccio - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Lille - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
23.04.23	Ajaccio - Brest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.08.22	Ajaccio - Lens	0:0
French Ligue 2
14.12.19	Ajaccio - Lens	1:2
10.05.19	Ajaccio - Lens	0:2
22.12.18	Lens - Ajaccio	1:2
23.04.18	Ajaccio - Lens	2:0
28.11.17	Lens - Ajaccio	2:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
08.08.17	Lens - Ajaccio	2:1

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