Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	09:30	Disney+
Belgium	14:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	09:30	Disney+
Canada	08:30	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Chile	08:30	Disney+
Colombia	07:30	Disney+
Croatia	14:30	SportKlub 8
Cyprus	15:30	Cablenet Sports 2
France	14:30	DAZN France
Germany	14:30	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	15:30	Nova Sports 5
Indonesia	19:30	Vidio
Israel	15:30	Sport 3
Italy	14:30	Como TV
Japan	21:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	15:30	Gotv
Mexico	06:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	14:30	Canal+, ESPN 3
Nigeria	13:30	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	14:30	MaxTV GO
Peru	07:30	Disney+
Poland	14:30	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Serbia	14:30	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	14:30	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	14:30	Sport TV3
South Africa	14:30	SupeSport ESPN 2
Spain	14:30	Gol Play
Turkey	15:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	09:30	Disney+
Usa	08:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:30	Disney+
International	12:30	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Heerenveen		Ajax

	1	X	2
	3.25	4	2	Watch
	3.1	4.1	2.05
	3.2	4.1	2.02
	3.35	4.15	2.05
	3.29	3.98	2.01	Watch
	3.1	3.8	1.95
	3.4	4.06	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	4.03 ↓ (4.36)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
29.3%

Draw
23.6%

Ajax
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

21.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	38.1%	42.9%

Heerenveen - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Ajax will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. 19. Zagaritis V. 6. van Overeem J. (C) 16. Linday M. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 11. Oyen L. 9. Vente D.	26. Paes M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 4. Itakura K. 15. Baas Y. 2. Rosa L. 48. Steur S. 24. Mokio J. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 23. Berghuis S. 25. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
35. Ahmed I. 31. Bakker N. (G) 40. Bonevacia C. 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 15. Egbring M. 50. Gurbuz E. 17. Hopland N. 38. Mulder I. 44. Noppert A. (G) 18. Nordas L. 28. Petrov H.	43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 7. Carrizo M. 9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O. 19. Konadu D. 50. Muzungu M. 6. Regeer Y. 52. Reverson P. (G) 32. Tomiyasu T. 45. van de Pavert R. 58. van der Velde V. (G)
Coaches
Veldman R.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Mokio J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rosa L. 🟨,
69', Klaassen D. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
69', Berghuis S. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
70', Regeer Y. 🟨,
75', Zagaritis V. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
79', Steur S. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
84', Vente D. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
84', Oyen L. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
85', Godts M. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
87', Meerveld R. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ajax might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 18:62. (average 0.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	18:13	5	15

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 11.45% Heerenveen: 0.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
11.05.26	NAC Breda - Heerenveen	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Volendam - Heerenveen	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Heerenveen - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.26	Ajax - Utrecht	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	NAC Breda - Ajax	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Heracles Almelo - Ajax	0:3 ✺
04.04.26	Ajax - Twente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.25	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:1
19.01.25	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:2
11.08.24	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:0
11.02.24	Heerenveen - Ajax	3:2
05.11.23	Ajax - Heerenveen	4:1
12.03.23	Heerenveen - Ajax	2:4
10.09.22	Ajax - Heerenveen	5:0

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