Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
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Austria	Laola1
Belgium	Play Sports 3
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Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 1
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Europe	Go3 Sport 4 Baltic
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Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
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Peru	Disney+
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Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Arena sport 1, Sport TV2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ajax		Heerenveen

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.50	Watch
	1.46	4.80	6.00
	1.43	4.60	6.25
	1.46	5.2	6.93
	1.47	4.84	6.04	Watch
	1.43	4.9	6.7
	1.46	4.87	7.01	Watch
	1.43	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.86 ↑ (4.73)	6.43 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
65.7%

Draw
19.6%

Heerenveen
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Ajax - Heerenveen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. ter Stegen M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 30. Bouwman A. 15. Baas Y. 12. Caio Henrique 18. Klaassen D. (C) 6. Regeer Y. 23. Berghuis S. 10. Gloukh O. 68. Ouazane A. 9. Dolberg K.	22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. (C) 19. Zagaritis V. 16. Linday M. 6. Proper D. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 11. Oyen L. 9. Vente D.
Substitutes
99. Arokodare T. 8. Brandt J. 7. Carrizo M. 20. Edvardsen O. 3. Gaaei A. 22. Heerkens J. (G) 4. Itakura K. 36. Janse D. 38. Marcos Leonardo 24. Mokio J. 26. Paes M. (G) 5. Wijndal O.	23. Bladi D. 8. Brouwers L. 36. Courtens N. 17. Hopland N. 29. Machine L. 44. Noppert A. (G) 28. Petrov H. 7. Rivera M. 47. Schaken K. 41. Scholten J. 30. Schreuder T. (G) 14. Smans L.
Coaches
Michel	Veldman R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Klaverboer B. (Own goal),
33', 2 - 0, Ouazane A. ⚽, Caio Henrique (A),
45', 2 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Kersten S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Trenskow J. 🟨,
57', Regeer Y. 🟨,
58', Oyen L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
65', Dolberg K. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
65', Gloukh O. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
65', Bouwman A. 🟨,
73', Klaassen D. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
73', Meerveld R. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Rivera M. ⚽,
86', Rosa L. 🟨,
86', Berghuis S. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
87', Ouazane A. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
87', Braude O. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2.

Ajax has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Bounida R. (Injury) Kaplan A. (Knee Injury) Sutalo J. (Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Blind D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Egbring M. (Injury)

We predict that Ajax will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:18. (average 2.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 3.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ajax - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.99%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Shelbourne - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Ajax - Shelbourne	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Volendam - Ajax	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ajax - Vojvodina	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWW
- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Heerenveen - Twente	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Heerenveen - Volos	3:2 ✺
17.07.26	Club Brugge - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
03.07.26	Heerenveen - De Graafschap	7:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.05.26	Utrecht - Heerenveen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.05.26	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:0
01.11.25	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:1
19.01.25	Heerenveen - Ajax	0:2
11.08.24	Ajax - Heerenveen	1:0
11.02.24	Heerenveen - Ajax	3:2
05.11.23	Ajax - Heerenveen	4:1
12.03.23	Heerenveen - Ajax	2:4

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