Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Israel	Sport 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV, OneFootball TV


	Shelbourne		Ajax

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.22	Watch
	9.00	6.50	1.23	Watch
	9.8	5.75	1.24
	12.18	5.96	1.2
	12.02	6.08	1.23	Watch
	12	5.9	1.19
	10.7	6.45	1.25	Watch
	10	6	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.65 ↓ (14.41)	6.05 ↓ (7.66)	1.22 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
8.7%

Draw
15.4%

Ajax
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.5%

12.1%

81.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shelbourne - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Beach E. (G) 15. Bone S. 16. Casey O. 4. Ledwidge K. 25. Mbeng M. 27. Caffrey E. 6. Lunney J. 23. McInroy K. (C) 18. Norris J. 17. Kelly D. 20. Freitas R.	26. Paes M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 30. Bouwman A. 17. Blind D. (C) 5. Wijndal O. 8. Brandt J. 6. Regeer Y. 24. Mokio J. 7. Carrizo M. 38. Marcos Leonardo 20. Edvardsen O.
Substitutes
2. Gannon S. 36. Jarvis W. 13. Johnson M. (G) 22. Moore S. 44. Ring D. 55. Roche J. 60. Ryan C. 56. Wuna J.	99. Arokodare T. 15. Baas Y. 12. Caio Henrique 9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O. 11. Godts M. 22. Heerkens J. (G) 36. Janse D. 18. Klaassen D. 68. Ouazane A. 2. Rosa L. 1. ter Stegen M. (G)
Coaches
Russell J.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽, Mokio J. (A),
23', Bouwman A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Freitas R. ⚽, Caffrey E. (A),
25', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
27', Freitas R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Gaaei A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Blind D. ↓, Baas Y. ↑,
57', Brandt J. ↓, Ouazane A. ↑,
57', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
60', Bone S. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
69', Wijndal O. ↓, Caio Henrique ↑,
70', Carrizo M. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
70', Lunney J. 🟨,
72', Freitas R. ↓, Ring D. ↑,
72', Lunney J. ↓, Roche J. ↑,
75', Roche J. 🟨,
81', Mbeng M. ↓, Moore S. ↑,
81', Norris J. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Moore S. ⚽, Caffrey E. (A),
90+2', Gannon S. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

Recent form of Shelbourne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ajax is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelbourne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Ajax: 5.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
09.08.26	Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Ajax - Shelbourne	3:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
02.08.26	Waterford - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Nõmme Kalju - Shelbourne	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Shelbourne - Nõmme Kalju	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Ajax - Shelbourne	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Volendam - Ajax	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Ajax - Vojvodina	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.26	Ajax - Burnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Ajax - Shelbourne	3:1

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