The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Akhmat Grozny 54.9%
Draw 26.2%
Arsenal Tula 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
25.6%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.1%
20.4%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.8%
5.3%
7.9%
Akhmat Grozny - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Users Predictions:
Akhmat Grozny will win
(33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
Akhmat has the most likely position - 11 (10.42%), has project points - 36, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 16 (19.43%), has project points - 29, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Akhmat is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Arsenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Akhmat is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Akhmat won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
Watch
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