Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.29	4.3
	1.92	3.44	3.74	Watch
	1.91	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.51)	3.36 ↓ (4.1)	3.88 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
48.4%

Draw
27.6%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Akron Tolyatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 14. Bokoev M. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 18. Kilin A. (C) 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K.	1. Golubev A. (G) 4. Berdnikov A. 29. Denisov R. 7. Dzhamilov S. 15. Kokoev D. 11. Kotik A. 77. Kotov P. 73. Petrov M. 16. Shorkin M. 2. Sitdikov M. (C) 5. Zorin B.
Substitutes
7. Apekov R. 9. Azarov V. 59. Bart R. 20. Dimoski B. 70. Eldarushev A. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 13. Khubaev D. 52. Konyukhov V. 24. Pogosov A. 19. Sangare D. (G)	42. Agalakov V. 99. Emelyanov D. 31. Eshchenko S. (G) 93. Gerasimov A. 24. Kakhidze A. 78. Lipovoy D. 9. Morozov K. 14. Pershin M. 8. Talalay D.
Coaches
Kaleshin E.	Novikov K.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Akron won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Akron won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
17.09.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
11.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Akron Tolyatti - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Akron Tolyatti - Tyumen	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Leningradets - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLT
- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
16.09.23	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4 ✺
21.08.23	Torpedo Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.04.23	Akron Tolyatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3
01.10.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
12.03.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	0:0
05.09.21	Akron Tolyatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:3
17.04.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	3:2
24.10.20	Akron Tolyatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:4

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