Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 30

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Kristall Stadium (Zhigulyovsk)

Referee: Seldyakov V. (Rus)


	Akron Tolyatti		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.68	3.89
	1.91	3.36	3.94	Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.6)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)	3.86 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
48.9%

Draw
27.1%

Volga Ulyanovsk
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akron Tolyatti's performance.

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volga Ulyanovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akron Tolyatti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volga Ulyanovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Akron Tolyatti - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Akron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Akron is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Akron won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Akron won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Cup
03.05.23	Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
29.04.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Akron Tolyatti - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
19.04.23	Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
15.04.23	Ufa - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTLWT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
29.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Shinnik - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.10.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:2
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
03.11.19	Akron Tolyatti - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0
30.08.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Akron Tolyatti	2:0
Russian Cup
04.08.19	Volga Ulyanovsk - Akron Tolyatti	0:3

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