The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yelimay Semey 41.1%
Draw 25.8%
Aktobe 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48%
21.6%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
21.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yelimay Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yelimay Semey's form might have worsened.
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yelimay Semey, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Yelimay Semey - Aktobe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Konovalov I. (G) 26. Tanasijevic S. 15. Mittendorfer M. 4. Zhumakhanov A. 20. Ashirbek A. 23. Ilic H. 44. Tulubay A. 18. Orazov R. (C) 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. 19. Zhaksylykov A.
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 5. Kairov B. (C) 23. Erlanov T. 13. Miangue S. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 14. Pibe 6. Atanasov J. 20. Zhukov G. 9. Ojo S. 21. Alvarez P. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
88. Baygaliev A. 5. Belancic M. 89. China 9. Murillo R. 7. Murtazaev R. 8. Omatay M. 14. Palacio D. 10. Payruz Z. 11. Sviridov I. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G)
95. Aymbetov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 4. Kusyapov T. 17. Nani 18. Ordets I. 22. Seydakhmet E. 7. Sosah D. 31. Tanzharikov A. 12. Topalov D. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M.
Coaches
Karpovich A.
Cherevchenko I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Erlanov T. ⚽, Pibe (A),
19', Kairov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Dosmagambetov T. ↓, Topalov D. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Ojo S. ⚽, Pibe (A),
59', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
62', Zhaksylykov A. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
62', Zhumakhanov A. ↓, China ↑,
65', Miangue S. 🟨,
65', Ashirbek A. 🟨,
65', Ojo S. 🟨,
71', Placca F. ↓, Murillo R. ↑,
73', Mittendorfer M. 🟨,
74', Ojo S. ↓, Sosah D. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Kairov B. (Own goal),
85', Pibe ↓, Tanzharikov A. ↑,
86', Zhukov G. ↓, Ordets I. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Shushenachev A. ⚽, Sosah D. (A),
90+2', Shushenachev A. ↓, Nani ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 3.
Yelimay has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aktobe shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Yelimay is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Yelimay has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yelimay against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Watch
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Konovalov I. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Mittendorfer M. 
Zhumakhanov A. 
Ilic H. 
Placca F. 
Miangue S. 
Pibe 
Atanasov J. 
Ojo S. 
Alvarez P. 
China 
Murillo R. 
Nani 
Ordets I. 
Sosah D. 
Cherevchenko I. 
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