Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Aktobe		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.80	5.25
	1.5	3.95	5.3	Watch
	1.49	4	5.46
	1.44	4.18	6.51	Watch
	1.45	3.9	5.35
	1.53	4.08	5.99	Watch
	1.49	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	3.97 ↑ (3.25)	5.58 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
61%

Draw
22.8%

Ulytau
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulytau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Aktobe - Ulytau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 23. Erlanov T. 13. Miangue S. 27. Dosmagambetov T. (C) 7. Sosah D. 20. Zhukov G. 21. Alvarez P. 9. Ojo S. 17. Nani 11. Shushenachev A.	78. Zakirov T. (G) 12. Afanasenko V. 69. Maulenov D. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 7. Kishi K. 13. Akhmedov A. 6. Nursultanov K. 10. Taubay A. 14. Harada H. 45. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
95. Aymbetov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 4. Kusyapov T. 14. Pibe 12. Topalov D. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 77. Zaria G.	88. Abdilda I. 22. Chernyak I. 17. Daniyarov B. 1. Nepogodov D. (G) 21. Nurali O. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 8. Vachiberadze B.
Coaches
Cherevchenko I.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Shushenachev A. ⚽, Alvarez P. (A),
20', Erlanov T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Zulfikarov B. ⚽,
36', Miangue S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Zulfikarov B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Taubay A. ↓, Vachiberadze B. ↑,
65', Nani ↓, Pibe ↑,
67', Kishi K. ↓, Daniyarov B. ↑,
67', Nursultanov K. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
71', Ojo S. 🟨,
77', Zhukov G. ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
85', Sosah D. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
87', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
87', Akhmedov A. ↓, Nurali O. ↑,
90+2', Zaria G. 🟨,
90+4', Nurali O. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Erlanov T. ⚽, Pibe (A),

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 9th).

Aktobe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ulytau is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Aktobe has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Aktobe for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Aktobe has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aktobe against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Last Results with these Odds

Aktobe - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 51.61%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
12.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Aktobe	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Atyrau - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
13.09.26	Ulytau - Altai Semey	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ulytau - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Kairat - Ulytau	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Ulytau - Aktobe	1:1
20.09.25	Ulytau - Aktobe	2:1
26.04.25	Aktobe - Ulytau	1:0

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