Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 33

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Fateh club stadium (Al-Hofuf)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al Fateh		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5
	1.52	4.55	4.95
	1.53	5.07	5.13
	1.53	4.89	4.87
	1.44	4.33	4.6
	1.52	4.62	5.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)	4.59 ↓ (4.81)	4.96 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Fateh
61.2%

Draw
20.1%

Al-Najma
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

19.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Fateh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Fateh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Al Fateh - Al Najma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Al-Najma (5.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Al-Najma (10.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Al-Najma (3.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Najma (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pacheco F. (G) 15. Baattia S. 4. Al Jari Z. 17. Saadane M. (C) 78. Al Swealem A. 33. Youssouf Z. 12. Qasim H. 27. Al Zubaidi F. 28. Bendebka S. 94. Al Anazi A. 10. Vargas M.	1. Victor Braga (G) 66. Al Essa S. 33. Al Fatil M. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 27. Al Subaie K. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 18. Al Harabi A. 80. Dunga N. 16. Guga 70. Felippe Cardoso 14. Jasim A.
Substitutes
24. Al Aboud M. 97. Al Bukhari A. (G) 49. Al Sharfa S. 87. Bin Mahmoud 44. Fernandes J. 6. Masoud N. 50. Qasheesh M. 21. Ramos Jefferson 70. Refaat M.	77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 4. Al Haleel N. 24. Al Hawsawi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 6. Al Shammari K. 11. Dawran M. M. Y. 75. Sharrahi M. 43. Tijanic D.
Coaches
Gomes J.	El Maestro N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Saadane M. 🟨,
18', Felippe Cardoso 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽,
36', Al Subaie K. ↓, Al Hawsawi N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Al Zubaidi F. ⚽, Al Anazi A. (A),
62', Dunga N. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
62', Jasim A. ↓, Tijanic D. ↑,
63', Pacheco F. ↓, Al Bukhari A. ↑,
66', Al Hawsawi N. 🟨,
69', Guga 🟥,
73', Youssouf Z. ↓, Masoud N. ↑,
73', Al Zubaidi F. ↓, Al Sharfa S. ↑,
73', Vargas M. ↓, Ramos Jefferson ↑,
85', Al Anazi A. ↓, Refaat M. ↑,
86', Al Essa S. ↓, Sharrahi M. ↑,
90+3', Al Jari Z. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Al-Najma is Relegated to Division 1

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al Fateh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al Fateh is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Fateh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Al Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Fateh SC
Saudi Professional League
10.05.26	Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Al Fateh - Neom	2:2 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Fateh	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al Fateh - Al-Khaleej	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTW
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
09.05.26	Al-Najma - Al Hazem	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Najma	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
16.01.26	Al-Najma - Al Fateh	1:1

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