Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alajuelense		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	1.68	3.35	4.40	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.72
	2.04	3.01	4.06	Watch
	2.14	2.7	3.65
	2.08	2.82	3.65	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	3.04 ↓ (3.7)	3.78 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
45.6%

Draw
30.1%

CD Marathón
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alajuelense - CD Marathón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Marathón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 28. Sosa Y. 3. Gonzalez G. (C) 21. Molina Y. 22. Matarrita R. 5. Borges C. 14. Wilson R. 99. Michel K. 10. Juanpi 33. Lucumi J. 18. Cisneros R.	1. Rougier J. (G) 16. Agurcia S. 4. Rivera J. 2. Figueroa H. (C) 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 10. Ramirez D. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 9. Farioli B. 22. Argueta C. 11. Messiniti N. 72. Moreno Y.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 44. Barley E. 39. Cruz E. 11. Diaz L. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 42. Ruiz J. 15. Samadian F. 40. Velasquez D. (G) 9. Zaldivar A.	19. Aguilera J. 3. Bodden K. 20. Bueso J. 7. Castillo I. 77. Elis A. 12. Mejia Y. 43. Montoya L. 29. Perez C. 23. Samudio C. (G)
Coaches
Ruiz B.	Rudman S. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Moreno Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lucumi J. ⚽, Juanpi (A),
32', 2 - 0, Cisneros R. ⚽, Sosa Y. (A),
39', Rougier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Sorto Caballero T. A. 🟨,
66', Lucumi J. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
66', Juanpi ↓, Perez C. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Messiniti N. ⚽, Arriaga Chavez J. A. (A),
69', Messiniti N. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
69', Ramirez D. ↓, Aguilera J. ↑,
69', Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Matarrita R. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Wilson R. ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
74', Sosa Y. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
75', Cisneros R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
84', Argueta C. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
89', Matarrita R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

Recent performances by Alajuelense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marathón is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Marathón has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alajuelense is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alajuelense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Alajuelense - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.16%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
13.09.26	Cartagines - Alajuelense	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Alajuelense - Plaza Amador	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTW
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.09.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	CD Marathón - Estrella Roja de Danlí	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	CD Marathón - Alajuelense	2:2
01.08.24	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1

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