The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AlbinoLeffe 22.5%
Draw 28.7%
Padova 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
27.4%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.8%
26.7%
56.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AlbinoLeffe's performance.
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AlbinoLeffe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AlbinoLeffe - Padova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Marietta C. (G) 33. Borghini D. (C) 30. Baroni R. 6. Boloca G. 16. Gusu M. 14. Fossati M. 18. Parlati S. 15. Astrologo A. 27. Munari D. 10. Zoma M. A. 9. Longo S.
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 26. Kirwan N. (C) 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. 14. Villa L. 11. Cretella C. 7. Varas K. 10. Russini S.
Substitutes
19. Agostinelli M. 26. Angeloni M. 73. Bosia L. 11. Capelli A. 24. Evangelisti N. 1. Facchetti L. (G) 77. Freri G. 3. Giannini E. 7. Mustacchio M. 4. Potop S. 21. Ricordi T. 12. Taramelli M. (G) 5. Zambelli F. 8. Zanini M.
99. Beccaro A. 15. Bianchi N. 20. Bortolussi M. 29. Broh J. 17. Capelli A. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 23. Granata A. 21. Liguori M. 37. Montrone A. 73. Targa A. 19. Valente N. 12. Voltan M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Villa L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Varas K. ↓, Bortolussi M. ↑,
46', Cretella C. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
46', Astrologo A. ↓, Agostinelli M. ↑,
47', Fossati M. 🟨,
68', Russini S. ↓, Valente N. ↑,
68', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
72', Longo S. ↓, Mustacchio M. ↑,
75', Kirwan N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
78', Fossati M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
88', Munari D. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
88', Boloca G. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
90+2', Agostinelli M. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 0.
Recent matches AlbinoLeffe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Padova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Padova is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches AlbinoLeffe won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:25 (average 0.9:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams AlbinoLeffe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:15 (average 1:2.5).