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Current Win Probability
Alcorcón 34.6%
Draw 32.1%
Ibiza 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
30.3%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30.5%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.
Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Alcorcón - Ibiza Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ibiza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ayesa G. (G) 23. Navarro D. 6. Perez I. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 14. Vacas L. 5. Rai 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 8. Martinez B. 9. Carmona M. 11. Kopotun V.
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 4. Monjonell E. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 3. Albert J. 7. Bebe 12. Garcia D. 6. del Pozo D. 11. Castillo F. 19. Sene J. 20. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
18. Aguado T. 7. Aparicio E. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 17. Lanchi 21. Llorente R. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 24. Perez L. 19. Pola J.
9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 23. Gomez E. 18. Indias I. 16. Pedreno M. 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Navarro D. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Albert J. ⚽,
30', Vacas L. 🟨,
34', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Vacas L. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
58', Monjonell E. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Aparicio E. ⚽,
64', Sene J. ↓, Davo ↑,
68', Garcia D. 🟨,
75', Aparicio E. 🟨,
75', Medina U. 🟨,
77', Martinez B. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
77', Navarro D. ↓, Llorente R. ↑,
78', Rai ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
80', Garcia D. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
80', Castillo F. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
80', 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
88', Bebe 🟨,
90', del Pozo D. ↓, Pedreno M. ↑,
90', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Kopotun V. ⚽,
90+8', Aguado T. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Alcorcón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Spain
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Ayesa G. (G) 
Kopotun V. 
Bebe 
El Ftouhi S. 
Errahaly M. 
Pugliese P. 
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