Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Holgueras Castellanos N. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Alcorcón		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.78	3.30	3.90
	1.68	3.45	4.5
	1.71	3.55	4.85
	1.83	3.47	4.23	Watch
	1.68	3.45	4.7
	1.71	3.53	4.93
	1.65	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	4.52 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
53.4%

Draw
26.4%

Ibiza
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Alcorcón - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Banuz M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 5. Lancho J. 3. Gaixas A. 17. Cuesta M. 20. Berlanga M. 6. Rivera P. 10. Vacas L. 11. Ouhdadi O. 7. Aparicio E. (C) 9. Davo	1. Prieto A. (G) 5. Fadel I. 4. Blasco J. 24. Ruiz E. 3. Garcia V. 6. Calavera J. 18. Astals D. 20. Ortiz P. 17. Valls T. (C) 10. Yoldi A. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
35. Arcos D. 8. Caravaca T. 30. Di Domenico N. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 23. Ibanez R. 16. Manzanara F. 1. Marti O. (G) 18. Melero G. 19. Palmer D. 24. Perez L. 21. Sabina F.	23. Almenara G. 15. Curbelo E. 7. Eslava J. 21. Lazo J. 22. Modesto H. 11. Nsukula G. 16. Rodriguez G. 13. Stamatakis D. (G) 19. Varela I. 31. Vlad R. (G)
Coaches
Justo F.	Llona R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Berlanga M. ⚽, Davo (A),
21', Berlanga M. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Yoldi A. ⚽, Astals D. (A),
33', Yoldi A. 🟨,
40', Gaixas A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Aparicio E. ⚽, Ouhdadi O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rivera P. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
55', Ruiz E. 🟨,
58', Ortiz P. 🟨,
58', Yoldi A. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
62', Garcia V. 🟨,
66', Manzanara F. 🟨,
69', Justo M. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
69', Aparicio E. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
69', Valls T. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Eslava J. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Berlanga M. ⚽,
80', Fadel I. ↓, Curbelo E. ↑,
80', Calavera J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
84', Irurita X. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Ortiz P. (Penalty Awarded),
90+10', Nsukula G. 🟨,
90+11', Vacas L. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 0.

Alcorcón has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ibiza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Alcorcón for this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Alcorcón has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:17 (averaging 1.3:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcorcón against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alcorcon	9	3	5	1	17:9	8	14
8	UD Ibiza	9	4	2	3	14:13	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.26	Alcorcón - Huesca	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Teruel - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Alcorcón - Juventud de Torremolinos	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.10.26	Águilas - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Ibiza - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Real Jaén - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:2
21.12.25	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:2
10.05.25	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:0
22.12.24	Alcorcón - Ibiza	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.22	Ibiza - Alcorcón	6:2
01.11.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	0:2
Club Friendly
06.08.21	Alcorcón - Ibiza	2:1

Upcoming Matches