Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Aldershot Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.68
	4.5	4	1.65	Watch
	4.59	4.09	1.7
	4.6	4.1	1.7
	4.33	3.9	1.6	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.4	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4.28)	4.06 ↑ (4.03)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
20.8%

Draw
23.1%

Stockport County
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22.9%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Aldershot Town - Stockport County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 2. Mnoga H. 4. Harries C. (C) 5. Rowe C. 3. Harfield O. 11. Glover R. 8. Frost T. 10. Stokes J. 27. Willard T. 9. Tolaj L. 22. Barham J.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 4. Wright A. 5. Byrne N. 15. Pye E. 2. Knoyle K. 27. Bailey O. 11. Powell N. 7. Southam M. 3. Touray I. 9. Madden P. (C) 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
14. Bray O. 20. Haigh J. 17. Jones A. 24. Mullins M. 7. O'Keefe S. 18. Scott O. 39. Thomas K. 31. Turner O. 38. Westen F. (G)	22. Cotterill J. 18. Croasdale R. 6. Horsfall F. 30. Johnson C. 28. Mee A. 25. Olaofe I. 23. Pond A. 10. Sarcevic A. 12. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Widdrington T.	Challinor D.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1.

Aldershot is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Stockport is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldershot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.11.23	Aldershot Town - Halifax Town	1:0 ✺
21.11.23	Bromley - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
18.11.23	Rochdale - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Aldershot Town - Kidderminster Harriers	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Swindon Town - Aldershot Town	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWLWW
- Stockport County
English League Two
28.11.23	Stockport County - Salford City	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Newport County - Stockport County	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Stockport County - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stockport County - Bolton Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.03.22	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	0:2
09.10.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	1:0
02.04.21	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	1:2
13.02.21	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	0:0
21.12.19	Aldershot Town - Stockport County	2:1
14.09.19	Stockport County - Aldershot Town	1:2

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