The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 23.6%
Draw 26.9%
Jaiba Brava 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
30.2%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
30.2%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
171. Ramirez L. A. (G) 6. Arellano A. 20. Ayala D. 33. Cortes J. (C) 5. Esqueda Romero J. A. 21. Franco J. 24. Garcia L. 7. Lopez D. 11. Mascorro H. 29. Meza S. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A.
13. Ruiz G. (G) 14. Corona N. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 2. Gonzalez C. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 18. Portales J. 5. Razo L. 20. Saldivar J. 8. Torres E.
Substitutes
13. Barreda I. 177. Bustos J. 10. Cruz J. 19. Fadika B. 3. Justo A. 15. Lopez E. 22. Ochoa Sanchez J. A. 1. Rodas C. (G) 12. Tamay A. 16. Zetuna Y.
16. Dominguez R. 27. Escalante E. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 15. Ham Puertos A. M. 19. Martinez F. 9. Martinez J. 10. Soto O.
Coaches
Hernandez E.
Ruiz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Razo L. ⚽, Saldivar J. (A),
44', Saldivar J. 🟨,
45+2', Escoboza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ayala D. ↓, Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↑,
46', Garcia L. ↓, Justo A. ↑,
46', Cortes J. 🟨,
48', Arellano A. 🟨,
49', Saldivar J. 🟨,
63', Razo L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
63', Gonzalez C. ↓, Dominguez R. ↑,
63', Corona N. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
67', Lopez D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
67', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
72', Mascorro H. ↓, Barreda I. ↑,
78', Escoboza A. ↓, Ham Puertos A. M. ↑,
80', Ruiz G. 🟨,
86', Flores S. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 2, Esqueda Romero J. A. ⚽, Cortes J. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 0.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jaiba Brava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).