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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 40.3%
Draw 27.1%
Jaiba Brava 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
27.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
27.5%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Atlético La Paz - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 10. Barragan M. (C) 16. Del Aguila Y. 9. Ferrer J. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 21. Robles C. 8. Soto A. 15. Torres H. 26. Yanez J.
13. Ruiz G. (G) 14. Corona N. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. (C) 3. Garcia D. 2. Gonzalez C. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 18. Portales J. 5. Razo L. 20. Saldivar J. 8. Torres E.
Substitutes
92. Alvarez D. 14. Galindo A. 6. Hernandez D. 19. Jaimes U. 1. Moreno C. (G) 11. Renteria R. 3. Rodriguez G. 7. Vazquez I. 2. Vazquez S.
22. Clemente J. 28. Flores S. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 15. Ham Puertos A. M. 7. Magana D. 9. Martinez J. 21. Peralta J. 31. Rodriguez M. 10. Soto O.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Ruiz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Ferrer J. ⚽,
31', Illescas F. 🟨,
32', Escoboza A. 🟨,
33', Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Robles C. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Razo L. ⚽,
56', Corona N. 🟨,
56', Corona N. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
56', Escoboza A. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
57', Millan O. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
59', Torres E. 🟨,
63', Yanez J. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
63', Ferrer J. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
70', Razo L. ↓, Clemente J. ↑,
70', Gonzalez C. ↓, Flores S. ↑,
70', Illescas F. ↓, Vazquez I. ↑,
70', Soto A. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
84', Vazquez I. 🟨,
86', Torres E. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
90+1', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟥,
90+3', Flores S. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-2. Second leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Atlético La Paz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jaiba Brava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).