The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lecce 60.4%
Draw 23.3%
Vicenza Virtus 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.5%
20.6%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.4%
17.8%
9.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lecce's form might have worsened.
Vicenza Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vicenza Virtus's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lecce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.7%
4%
5.3%
Lecce - Vicenza Virtus Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lecce will win
(274 of 302 users predict this - 90.73%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.46% โ 94%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (23.91%), has project points - 68, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (24%).
Lecce is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vicenza Virtus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vicenza Virtus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lecce is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Watch
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