Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Como		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	8	Watch
	1.43	4.4	7.75
	1.43	4.45	7.9	Watch
	1.45	4.6	9.25
	1.41	4.51	8.7	Watch
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.45	4.42	8.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.4 ↓ (4.46)	8.33 ↑ (7.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
66.7%

Draw
21.8%

Lecce
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.7%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	13.5%	2.7%

Como - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.39) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -1 - Como (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (31 of 37 users predict this - 83.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.9% – 95.66%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 77. Van der Brempt I. 14. Ramon J. 2. Kempf M. O. 18. Moreno A. 23. Perrone M. 33. Da Cunha L. (C) 31. Vojvoda M. 6. Caqueret M. 17. Rodriguez J. 11. Douvikas A.	30. Falcone W. (C) 5. Siebert J. 44. Tiago Gabriel 3. Ndaba C. 17. Veiga D. 16. Gandelman O. 20. Ramadani Y. 29. Coulibaly L. 25. Gallo A. 99. Cheddira W. 19. Banda L.
Substitutes
44. Cavlina N. (G) 38. Diao A. 34. Diego Carlos 5. Goldaniga E. 19. Kuhn N. 15. Lahdo A. 7. Morata A. 10. Paz N. 8. Roberto S. 28. Smolcic I. 21. Tornqvist N. (G) 3. Valle A. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 11. Ndri K. 79. Ngom O. 13. Perez M. 50. Pierotti S. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 23. Sottil R. 9. Stulic N.
Coaches
Fabregas C.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Coulibaly L. ⚽, Banda L. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Douvikas A. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Perrone M. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Kempf M. O. ⚽, Da Cunha L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kempf M. O. ↓, Diego Carlos ↑,
46', Ndaba C. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
59', Gandelman O. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
59', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
65', Perrone M. ↓, Roberto S. ↑,
65', Vojvoda M. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
71', Banda L. 🟨,
73', Banda L. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
77', Douvikas A. ↓, Morata A. ↑,
84', Tiago Gabriel ↓, Jean G. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Diao A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Como won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Como is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Baturina M. (Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Camarda F. (Injury) Gaspar K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Como won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Juventus - Como	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Milan - Como	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Como - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.02.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Como - Atalanta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTLWT
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lecce - Lazio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3
19.04.25	Lecce - Como	0:3
30.12.24	Como - Lecce	2:0
Coppa Italia
13.08.23	Lecce - Como	1:0
Italian Serie B
05.02.22	Como - Lecce	1:1
29.08.21	Lecce - Como	1:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
18.02.13	Lecce - Como	2:0

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