Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Alessandria		Parma

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.37
	3.25	3.05	2.35	Watch
	3.15	2.95	2.31
	3.41	3.18	2.38
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.3	3.14	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.8)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
29.3%

Draw
30.5%

Parma
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

21.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Parma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Parma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 14).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (16.5%), has project points - 41, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Parma has the most likely position - 10 (10.77%), has project points - 54, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
12.12.21	Reggina - Alessandria	0:4 ✺
05.12.21	Alessandria - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
30.11.21	Pordenone - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Alessandria - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	SPAL - Alessandria	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLLWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
12.12.21	Parma - Perugia	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Ascoli - Parma	0:0 ✺
01.12.21	Parma - Brescia	0:1 ✺
28.11.21	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Parma - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
17.06.17	Parma - Alessandria	2:0

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