The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 53.6%
Draw 27.3%
Pordenone 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
27.7%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
27.2%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Alessandria - Pordenone Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (42.79%), has project points - 32, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (87.65%), has project points - 22, has currently - 17, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality19, importance36, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Alessandria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Pordenone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Alessandria is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Watch
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