The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alessandria 36.4%
Draw 31.1%
SPAL 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
29.6%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
30.4%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Alessandria - SPAL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 15).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (32.25%), has project points - 32, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
SPAL has the most likely position - 15 (78.29%), has project points - 40, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality21, importance36, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches SPAL is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Watch
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