The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cremonese 56%
Draw 25.9%
Alessandria 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
25.5%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58%
24.3%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Cremonese - Alessandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (37.25%), has project points - 70, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (71%), has a chance of win league (37%).
Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (39.29%), has project points - 32, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality25, big importance84, match rating55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 0.
Cremonese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Alessandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Cremonese is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.