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Current Win Probability
SPAL 28.8%
Draw 30%
Cremonese 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
30.3%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
20.1%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SPAL, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cremonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SPAL - Cremonese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
SPAL has the most likely position - 15 (69.5%), has project points - 41, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (36.72%), has project points - 70, has currently - 56, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a chance of win league (37%).
This event has quality32, importance50, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches SPAL is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cremonese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
SPAL could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Cremonese will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Watch
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