Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.44	4.3	6.6	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.66
	1.54	4.05	5.30	Watch
	1.44	4.3	6.84	Watch
	1.53	3.85	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)	4.18 ↑ (4.05)	6.32 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
63%

Draw
22.2%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Alianza Atlético - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melian D. (C) 19. Perez M. 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 13. Benincasa H. 21. Perleche E. 24. Gordillo A. 20. Perez J. 7. Castro R. 8. Illanes F. 22. Ysique F. 29. Graneros A.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 28. Perleche A. 33. Otavio Gut 19. Mendieta J. 14. Guevara B. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 88. Aubert E. 8. Lliuya M. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. (C) 17. Mena Y. 29. Escobar J.
Substitutes
92. Aguinaga A. 2. Cossio A. 17. del Castillo J. 27. Diaz R. 33. Flores F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 15. Lupu H. 95. Prieto D. (G) 3. Vasquez C.	3. Ampuero A. 22. Campodonico R. 66. Fuentes P. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 9. Martinez D. 15. Ramirez N. 38. Sernaque J. 1. Ynamine P. (G)
Coaches
Ameli G.	Mosquera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Illanes F. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
13', 0 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽, Guevara B. (A),
31', Graneros A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lliuya M. ↓, Fuentes P. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Lupu H. ⚽,
59', Mendieta J. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
67', Perleche E. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
68', Perez M. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
70', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
71', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
78', Perez J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
78', Gordillo A. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
79', Perleche A. ↓, Iraola G. ↑,
79', Guevara B. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
90+5', Ibarguen J. 🟨,

Preview

Alianza Atlético has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alianza Universidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza Atlético is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Alianza Universidad: Gomez R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Ysique F. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.25	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLWW
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
14.10.25	FBC Melgar - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético	2:0
19.08.21	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2

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