Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:00	Disney+, DSports 4, ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	12:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	22:00	Tigo Sports 2
Brazil	23:00	Paramount+
Canada	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	22:00	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	21:00	DSports
Ecuador	21:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
Israel	05:00	Sport 3
Italy	04:00	Como TV
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
New Zealand	14:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	22:00	Tigo Sports+
Peru	21:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	23:00	DSports 310
Usa	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.98	2.98	2.42	Watch
	3.12	3.11	2.49
	3.23	3.07	2.39	Watch
	3	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.19	3.14	2.38	Watch
	4	3.4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (4)	3.1 ↓ (3.4)	2.35 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
29.4%

Draw
30.5%

América de Cali
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.7%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.9%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Alianza Atlético - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 50%). América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 4. Villegas J. C. 19. Mendieta J. 22. del Castillo J. 10. Diaz G. (C) 20. Perez J. 8. Flores F. 9. Robaldo V. 17. Penilla C.	1. Jean (G) 28. Mina L. M. 4. Mosquera A. 24. Tovar C. 30. Bertel O. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 21. Angel T. 17. Lucumi J. 7. Murillo J. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
14. Alburqueque L. 29. Antilef A. 7. Coronel F. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 6. Lujan J. 15. Lupu H. 23. Munoz A. 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 32. Quiroga S. 77. Valladolid C.	35. Angulo K. 8. Borrero D. 6. Cavadia J. 16. Correa B. 18. Garces Y. 22. Hernandez N. 11. Machis D. 19. Palacios J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 23. Sierra C. 12. Soto J. (G)
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Gonzalez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Murillo J. ⚽,
62', Perleche E. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Angel T. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Angel T. 🟨,
69', Flores F. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
70', Robaldo V. ↓, Valladolid C. ↑,
76', Murillo J. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
85', Penilla C. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
85', Valencia D. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
85', Angel T. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
88', Diaz G. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
88', del Castillo J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
89', Lucumi J. 🟨,
90+1', Lucumi J. ↓, Sierra C. ↑,
90+3', Mendieta J. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

América de Cali might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

América de Cali - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.78%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWLL
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Tigre - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.04.26	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	América de Cali - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	América de Cali - Alianza Atlético	2:1

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