The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 55.7%
Draw 24%
Juan Pablo II College 20.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.5%
20.5%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
20.8%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Atlético's form might have worsened.
Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo II College's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Alianza Atlético - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In recent outings, Alianza Atlético has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Juan Pablo II shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alianza Atlético may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Alianza Atlético carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Doubtful / questionable for Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Juan Pablo II: Leguizamon N.
(Injury).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atlético has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza Atlético against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.