Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Villanueva A. (Per)


	Alianza Atlético		Carlos A. Mannucci

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.78	3.4	4.85	Watch
	1.79	3.31	4.51
	1.78	3.31	4.51
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.83	3.61	4.61	Watch
	1.78	3.35	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.76)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	4.55 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
52.2%

Draw
27.4%

Carlos A. Mannucci
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Alianza Atlético - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mannucci will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melian D. (G) 3. Vasquez C. 4. Villegas J. C. 2. Tovo E. 55. Duclos F. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Illanes F. 21. Milesi A. 18. Rebagliati S. 9. Fernandez A. (C)	26. Franco E. (G) 27. Rabanal E. 14. Cortave M. (C) 88. Quina N. 2. Cossio A. 13. Llontop M. 21. Vidales J. 6. Viera G. 16. Benitez A. 17. Liza P. 10. Albarracin N.
Substitutes
17. Arakaki H. 13. Benincasa H. 7. Castro R. 10. Flores C. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 26. Lupu H. 15. Mendieta Rojas J. A. 30. Perleche A. 95. Prieto D. (G)	36. Chicoma A. 11. Cortes J. 5. Gaona M. 12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 7. Succar A. 9. Succar M. 32. Urtecho E. 15. Velarde C.
Coaches
Espejo J.	Mendes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Benitez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rebagliati S. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
55', Rabanal E. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
55', Franco E. 🟨,
57', Albarracin N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
57', Vidales J. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
60', Quina N. 🟨,
64', Viera G. 🟨,
65', Liza P. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
66', Duclos F. ↓, Arakaki H. ↑,
72', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche A. ↑,
83', Tovo E. 🟨,
88', Fernandez A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.

Alianza Atlético has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mannucci is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mannucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alianza Atlético is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.24	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT
- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Cusco - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Sport Huancayo - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.09.23	Alianza Atlético - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:1
16.04.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	1:0
20.10.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	2:2
19.06.22	Alianza Atlético - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:0
28.08.21	Alianza Atlético - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0
26.04.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	1:3
Peruvian Liga 2
19.08.18	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	2:1

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