Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Lopez Ramos P. (Esp)


	Carlos A. Mannucci		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.4	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.33	2.9
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.35	3.36	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	2.85 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos A. Mannucci
39.5%

Draw
28.3%

Deportivo Garcilaso
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 14. Cortave M. 88. Quina N. 33. Hurtado C. 21. Vidales J. 6. Viera G. 10. Albarracin N. (C) 13. Llontop M. 17. Liza P. 9. Succar M.	25. Vargas M. (G) 22. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 4. Caicedo L. 13. Lojas J. (C) 16. Beltran C. 14. Diez C. 7. Gomez A. 23. Urruti L. 11. Gentile G. 9. Ugarriza A.
Substitutes
16. Benitez A. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 26. Franco E. (G) 5. Gaona M. 8. Herrera Joel 19. Miguez P. 7. Succar A. 15. Velarde C.	27. Bazan J. 10. Chicaiza L. 19. Cornejo M. 6. Cuero J. 36. Cuero M. 24. Gordillo A. 1. Penny D. (G) 5. Ramos C. 30. Simisterra R.
Coaches
Mendes M.	Redin B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Lojas J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Succar M. (A),
34', Rizzo G. 🟨,
34', Caicedo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lojas J. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
46', Beltran C. ↓, Cornejo M. ↑,
46', Rizzo G. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Cuero M. (A),
61', Vidales J. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
61', Albarracin N. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
65', Liza P. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
79', Salazar A. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
83', Ramos C. 🟨,
85', Viera G. ↓, Succar A. ↑,
86', Ugarriza A. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
89', Gentile G. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
90', Diez C. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 15).

Mannucci is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Garcilaso is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mannucci could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.24	Sport Huancayo - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	FBC Melgar - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Lima	0:4 ✺
30.03.24	Atlético Grau - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
28.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
19.04.24	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.04.24	Lanús - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.06.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1
26.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:2

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