Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Alianza Atlético		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6	Watch
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.43	4.5	7	Watch
	1.47	4.54	6.29
	1.45	4.63	6.64
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.45	4.6	6.45	Watch
	1.47	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.44)	4.53 ↓ (4.58)	6.34 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
64.8%

Draw
20.5%

Deportivo Municipal
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicosia F. (G) 30. Perleche A. 50. Guzman W. 15. Mendieta Rojas J. A. 6. Aguirre J. 16. Fernandez S. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 9. Fernandez A. (C) 77. Manzaneda J.	33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J. 3. Rugel L. 15. Cavagna F. 22. Cespedes J. (C) 10. Perez Garcia M. 97. Cabrera F. 18. Flores C. 14. Nunes J. 77. Olascuaga 32. Erustes P.
Substitutes
12. Aguirre J. (G) 14. Alburqueque L. 25. Carranza J. 19. De la Cruz L. 17. Fernandez F. 11. Matzuda M. 18. Rebagliati S. 8. Reyes J. 10. Torres R.	23. Cabrera E. 37. Correa Vilela E. I. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 16. Galvez del Cuadro S. 13. Moyano D. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 39. Rodriguez F. 21. Romero J. 36. Yanez A.
Coaches
Gonzales A.	Acasiete S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Alianza Atlético is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
08.10.23	Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
07.10.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	4:1 ✺
29.09.23	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Municipal	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cusco	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Cajamarca - Deportivo Municipal	5:1 ✺
16.09.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.06.23	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Atlético	2:1
20.08.22	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Atlético	0:1
02.04.22	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Municipal	2:2
30.10.21	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Municipal	0:2
07.10.17	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
24.06.17	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Atlético	3:1
03.08.16	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Municipal	2:0

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