Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jorge Gonzalez (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Alianza San Miguel		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.78
				Watch
	3.73	3.42	1.99
	3.36	2.83	2.36	Watch
	3.81	3.55	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.94)	3.3 ↓ (3.64)	2 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
25.3%

Draw
28.2%

Alajuelense
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

25.3%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.4%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Alajuelense (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Pinar F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Alajuelense is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
16.08.25	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	2:5 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - Managua	1:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
09.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.25	Antigua GFC - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
03.08.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.08.25	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
07.08.25	Managua - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.08.25	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.07.25	Alajuelense - Plaza Amador	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.24	Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense	1:2
CONCACAF League
13.09.22	Alajuelense - Alianza San Miguel	2:0
07.09.22	Alianza San Miguel - Alajuelense	0:1

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