Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Sarmiento C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7.4	Watch
	1.39	4.51	7.31
	1.4	4.51	7.69	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.4	4.88	8.3	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.62 ↑ (4.3)	7.51 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
67.3%

Draw
20.3%

Comerciantes Unidos
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (G) 55. Canales E. 16. Beltran C. (C) 14. Gariglio I. 18. Nunez O. 11. Erustes P. 8. Gomez N. 5. Garcia C. 10. Sandoval K. 19. Naya E. 9. Ugarriza A.	23. Villete A. (G) 35. Paredes G. 27. Sosa B. 31. Aguilar R. 16. Tecilla N. 8. Ibanez E. 21. Vega J. 10. Escalante L. 15. Carpio Ferro M. P. 77. Sandoval R. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
31. Barbieri J. (G) 7. Bazan J. 26. Celi Y. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 13. Lojas J. 23. Moreno X. 25. Paucar E. 22. Rodriguez A. 2. Salazar A.	28. Garcia L. (G) 14. Gonzales S. 25. Guzman W. 30. Marina J. 6. Paico K. 20. Parodi J. 19. Pena K. 18. Portugal B. 29. Saavedra C.
Coaches
Duro G.	Cardetti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Escalante L. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Naya E. ⚽,
30', Gariglio I. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Sandoval R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sandoval K. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
49', Gomez N. 🟨,
54', Ibanez E. 🟨,
58', Aguilar R. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
60', Guzman W. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Gomez N. (A),
64', Guzman W. 🟨,
66', Ibanez E. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
66', Escalante L. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
75', Ugarriza A. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
76', Canales E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
77', Pena K. 🟨,
78', Vega J. ↓, Paico K. ↑,
78', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Portugal B. ↑,
86', Naya E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+4', Garcia C. 🟨,

Preview

In this match Deportivo Garcilaso is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Cordova M. (Hip Injury) Duclos F. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
10.02.25	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:2 ✺
18.10.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTLTW
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
09.02.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos	3:0 ✺
28.10.24	Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
24.10.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
17.10.24	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
25.08.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1
28.03.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2

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