Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)


	Alianza Valledupar		Real Santander

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.36	4.35	7.9	Watch
	1.39	4.4	9.41
	1.05	12.94	27.40	Watch
	1.36	3.9	8.5
	1.35	4.2	8.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	5.72 ↑ (5.08)	11.66 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
74.5%

Draw
17.1%

Real Santander
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

17.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Munoz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 3 - 0, Valoyes J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.

Alianza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Santander has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alianza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alianza is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Copa
08.05.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTLL
- Real Santander
Colombian Copa
12.05.26	Real Santander - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:3 ✺
07.05.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	5:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Real Santander - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Leones - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
23.02.23	Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar	1:0
15.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	4:1
27.04.17	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:0
12.04.17	Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar	1:2
16.03.16	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	1:1
09.03.16	Real Santander - Alianza Valledupar	1:1
22.04.15	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	1:0

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