Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Alianza Valledupar		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	4	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.06	3.2	4.09
	1.98	3.2	4.04
	1.95	3.2	3.7	Watch
	1.99	3.32	3.83	Watch
	2.01	3.15	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.24)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	3.86 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
46.6%

Draw
29.1%

Unión La Calera
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Valledupar's performance.

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Alianza Valledupar - Unión La Calera Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Graziani P. (G) 2. Navarro E. 3. Figueroa J. 5. Franco P. (C) 16. Saldana L. 27. Batalla E. 23. Meza Mercado E. W. 21. Manjarres R. 26. Gil M. 29. Contreras J. 9. Rangel M.	12. Ibanez M. (G) 13. Ferrario E. 24. Parnisari E. 22. Ferreyra N. 4. Ulloa D. 8. Hauche G. 27. Encinas A. 11. Aued L. (C) 9. Perez C. 19. Soldano F. 20. Gigliotti E.
Substitutes
31. Acosta S. 19. Blanco R. 10. Cardenas S. 7. Castillo J. 8. Florez Carrillo F. A. 12. Mora J. (G) 1. Mosquera C. (G) 6. Orozco S. 22. Ospina Londono L. A. 14. Parra J. 4. Simarra A. 33. Torres M.	28. Arnijas L. 18. Astudillo B. (G) 10. Cavalleri M. 23. Fiamengo D. 29. Huerta R. 32. Morales Olivares M. G. 5. Munoz M. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 17. Ponce W. 30. Romo B.
Coaches
Bodhert H.	Fernandez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Batalla E. (Pen),
18', Rangel M. 🟨,
21', Ferrario E. 🟨,
29', Saldana L. 🟨,
45', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Gigliotti E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
62', Encinas A. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
62', Contreras J. ↓, Cardenas S. ↑,
71', Manjarres R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
71', Meza Mercado E. W. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
74', Soldano F. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
77', Gil M. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
77', Batalla E. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
82', Gigliotti E. ↓, Ponce W. ↑,
83', Hauche G. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
86', Ulloa D. 🟨,
86', Torres M. 🟨,

Preview

Alianza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
29.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLW
- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Palestino - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	Unión La Calera - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.24	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTLW

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