Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Almería		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.8
	4.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	4.95	3.65	1.79
	4.91	3.77	1.78
	4.4	3.7	1.73
	4.98	3.82	1.81	Watch
	4.75	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (4.49)	3.7 ↓ (3.88)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
20.2%

Draw
25.9%

Athletic Bilbao
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

24.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4%	10%	86%

Almería - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (86 of 100 users predict this - 86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.2% – 92.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 3. Gonzalez E. 16. Radovanovic A. 20. Centelles A. 19. Arribas S. 6. Lopy D. 4. Baba I. 7. Ramazani L. 15. Lozano C. 5. Robertone L. (C)	1. Simon U. (G) 18. de Marcos O. (C) 5. Alvarez Y. 4. Paredes A. 17. Berchiche Y. 6. Vesga M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. 30. Gomez U. 7. Berenguer A. 20. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
10. Embarba A. 24. Langa B. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 29. Milovanovic M. 17. Pozo A. 38. Romero L. 27. Sanz P. 21. Viera J.	13. Agirrezabala J. (G) 23. Ares A. 14. Garcia D. 19. Garcia de Albeniz I. 22. Garcia R. 21. Herrera A. 31. Jauregizar M. 15. Lekue I. 10. Muniain I. 24. Prados Diaz B. 8. Sancet O.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Valverde E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 0.

Almería has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Athletic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic is a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Leo Baptistao (Red Card) Montes C. (Injury) Suarez L. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Guruzeta G. (Thigh Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Almería won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
03.02.24	Valencia - Almería	2:1 ✺
26.01.24	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
21.01.24	Real Madrid - Almería	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Almería - Girona	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTL
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.02.24	Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca	4:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
24.01.24	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.01.24	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
06.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	3:0
22.04.23	Almería - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
30.09.22	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	4:0
21.03.15	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	2:1
25.10.14	Almería - Athletic Bilbao	0:1
18.05.14	Almería - Athletic Bilbao	0:0
11.01.14	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	6:1

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