The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almere City 43.6%
Draw 25.6%
Dordrecht 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
22.5%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
22%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dordrecht's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dordrecht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Almere City - Dordrecht Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wendlinger J. (G) 2. Reith B. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 5. Bijleveld T. 8. de Haan M. 21. el Dahri H. 37. Ghogli I. 10. Rijkhoff J. 40. Dors M. 9. Druijf F.
63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 25. Plug J. 29. Rossi N. 8. Sunderland L. 6. van Vianen D. 5. Mica Pinto 20. Yoon D. 18. van Asten R. 59. de Bie J.
Substitutes
24. Beaumont G. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 23. Jacobs Ja. 3. Jacobs Jo. 20. Kalisvaart J. 12. Kuijsten T. (G) 17. Poku E. 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G)
11. Afaker M. 17. Alassani Y. 13. Artic T. (G) 16. Bae S. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 22. Darelas A. 14. Pynadath J. 2. van Aken J. 7. Venema N. 21. Vetkal M. 23. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.
Kuyt D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', de Bie J. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Druijf F. ⚽, Rijkhoff J. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Dors M. ⚽, Ghogli I. (A),
39', de Haan M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, van Asten R. ⚽, Yoon D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yoon D. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
46', Rossi N. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
46', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
56', 3 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, el Dahri H. (A),
65', de Bie J. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
65', Ghogli I. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
65', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
74', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
74', Dors M. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Jacobs Ja. ⚽, de Nijs O. (A),
85', van Vianen D. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Almere City might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hilton J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dordrecht: Artic T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 1.8:0.9).
Watch
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Wendlinger J. (G) 
Reith B. 
Lawrence J. (C) 
Dors M. 
Biai C. (G) 
M'Bemba Y. 
Rossi N. 
Sunderland L. 
Mica Pinto 
Yoon D. 
Carrillo S. 
Codutti L. 
Darelas A. 
Vetkal M. 
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