The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almere City 28.7%
Draw 27%
Groningen 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
26.4%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
26.4%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almere City's form might have worsened.
Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almere City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
15.4%
61.5%
Almere City - Groningen Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Groningen will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 35% โ 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. Visus R. 14. Zagaritis V. 23. Balboa A. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 21. Guillaume B. 9. Robinet T. (C) 24. Mattoir F. 17. Hansen K.
1. Vaessen E. (G) 7. Bacuna L. (C) 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 22. Stam F. 14. Schreuders J. 8. Hove J. 18. de Jonge T. 10. Valente L. 29. Postema R. 26. van Bergen T.
Substitutes
22. Barbet T. 36. Beaumont G. 2. Dankerlui D. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 11. Kadile J. 15. Lawrence J. 25. Mamengi C. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
24. Baron D. (G) 3. Blokzijl T. 11. Emeran N. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 27. Mendes R. 25. Oosting T. 4. Pelupessy J. 2. Prins W. 23. Turay F. 9. Willumsson B.
Coaches
Maduro H.
Lukkien D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Guillaume B. ⚽, Robinet T. (A),
18', Akujobi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Robinet T. ↓, Kadile J. ↑,
53', Stam F. 🟨,
60', Peersman M. 🟨,
65', Stam F. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
65', Postema R. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Bacuna L. ⚽, Peersman M. (A),
67', Guillaume B. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
71', Mattoir F. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
84', Balboa A. ↓, Beaumont G. ↑,
85', Zagaritis V. ↓, Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↑,
85', van Bergen T. ↓, Oosting T. ↑,
Preview
Recent matches Almere City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Groningen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Almere City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Groningen have a series of home games.
Groningen will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Almere City: Robinet T.
(Injury)
There will not play in Groningen: Turay F.
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.