Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	16:45	Canal+, ESPN 2


	NAC Breda		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.45	3.15
	2.26	3.58	3.25
	2.21	3.6	3.11	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.33	3.57	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)	3.14 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
42.6%

Draw
27.1%

Sparta Rotterdam
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	43.7%	31.2%

NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bielica D. (G) 3. Odoi D. 20. Jensen F. 22. Hillen R. 4. Kemper B. (C) 16. Balard M. 8. Leemans C. 7. Brym C. 10. Nassoh M. 11. Paula R. 19. Salama A.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 6. Baas J. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. van Crooij V. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
24. Ayew A. 21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 90. Holtby L. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Mahmutovic E. 26. Reulen P. 14. Sowah K. 32. Talvitie J. 25. Valerius C.	20. Bednarek F. (G) 16. Clement P. 13. de Guzman J. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 14. Roaldsoy A. 12. Sambo S. 18. Santos A. 17. Terho C. 21. Toornstra J. 22. van Aanholt P. 15. Vianello G. 19. Zonneveld M.
Coaches
Hoefkens C.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Martes L. 🟨,
45', Baas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martes L. ↓, Sambo S. ↑,
46', Martins Indi B. ↓, Vianello G. ↑,
46', Baas J. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
54', van Crooij V. 🟨,
55', Salama A. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
55', Brym C. ↓, Talvitie J. ↑,
56', Balard M. ↓, Sowah K. ↑,
61', Hillen R. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
62', Paula R. 🟨,
75', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
77', Nassoh M. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breda won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 7.97% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.26	Zwolle - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	NAC Breda - Volendam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
07.12.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	1:0
07.03.25	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1
07.12.24	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	0:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	2:1
22.08.20	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	1:1
20.07.19	Sparta Rotterdam - NAC Breda	3:0
14.07.18	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3

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