Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Almirante Brown		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	5	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.1	5
	1.85	3.3	4.9
	1.8	3.2	4.33
	1.9	3.35	4.3
	1.83	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.74)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)	4.58 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
50.9%

Draw
28.7%

Güemes
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

27.8%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Almirante Brown - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Güemes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional and 16).

Almirante Brown is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Güemes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Güemes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Almirante Brown is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.23	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Alvarado - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Almirante Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
11.03.23	San Martín de San Juan - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Almirante Brown - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWTT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.23	Güemes - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Patronato Parana - Güemes	1:2 ✺
19.03.23	Güemes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Alvarado - Güemes	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Güemes - Deportivo Flandria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.04.22	Güemes - Almirante Brown	2:1

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