Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Alvarado		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	3
	2.45	2.75	3
	2.5	2.8	3.1
	2.66	2.83	3.23
	2.64	2.7	3.17	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.53	2.82	3.05
	2.5	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	2.79 ↑ (2.73)	3.08 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
36.4%

Draw
33.4%

Gimnasia Jujuy
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

33.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Alvarado - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 4. Ortiz N. D. 2. Robledo A. 13. Fernandez T. 3. Aleo A. 8. Jaurena S. 15. Mansilla M. 10. Sanchez G. 11. Becker D. 7. Malagueno F. 9. Belinetz O.	1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. 6. Dematei N. 3. Rizzi F. 10. Palavecino A. 8. Abet A. 5. Soria H. 7. Molina F. 9. Albertengo M. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
14. Bettini M. . Boasso F. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 17. Lamardo G. . Makarte R. 20. Miori M. 18. Perez M. . Tecilla N. 19. Vadala G.	20. Ayala E. 16. Cordoba J. 15. Endrizzi E. 12. Gomez G. (G) 17. Juarez J. 14. Lopez D. 19. Montes R. 18. Puntano G. 13. Zafarana I.
Coaches
Gomez G.	Modolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Dematei N. 🟨,
32', Robledo A. 🟨,
41', Palavecino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez T. ↓, Tecilla N. ↑,
49', Abet A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Sanchez G. ⚽,
61', Menendez C. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
61', Palazzo B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
76', Rizzi F. ↓, Endrizzi E. ↑,
76', Abet A. ↓, Juarez J. ↑,
78', Becker D. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
78', Sanchez G. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
85', Palavecino A. ↓, Montes R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alvarado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alvarado will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.24	Güemes - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Alvarado - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Alvarado - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Patronato Parana - Alvarado	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Alvarado - Tristán Suárez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWL
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	All Boys - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.04.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Alvarado	1:0
17.07.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Alvarado	3:2

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