Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Rosa D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Alverca		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.54	4.2	5.4
	1.57	4.24	5.79
	1.57	4.09	5.48	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.56	4.12	5.37
	1.54	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	4.08 ↑ (3.99)	5.37 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
60.1%

Draw
22.7%

Oliveirense
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Alverca - Oliveirense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alverca will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 5. Varela F. 6. Velazquez S. 74. Shinga K. 40. Ageu E. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 12. Reinaldo 88. Martins D. 10. Andrezinho 89. Joao Marcos	12. Macedo N. (G) 25. Casimiro 13. Junior M. 75. Namora N. 26. Bastos L. 5. Filipe Alves (C) 8. Santos A. 7. Dju M. 20. Mita H. 14. Bruno Silva 70. Ze Manuel
Substitutes
3. Alysson 20. Bukia A. 9. Carter A. 25. Dias R. 14. Pereira R. 16. Pires M. 8. Rosa C. 23. Silva P. (G) 36. Thauan Lara	18. Caballero M. 1. Dabo R. (G) 74. Jevsenak Z. 96. Joanderson 32. Kamisasanuki M. 54. Martins S. 21. Rodrigues A. 99. Sabino 79. Silva J.
Coaches
Costa V.	Campos A. F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ageu E. ⚽, Andrezinho (A),
14', Filipe Alves ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
16', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
36', Namora N. 🟨,
38', Shinga K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Santos A. ↓, Sabino ↑,
61', Mita H. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
62', Andrezinho ↓, Pires M. ↑,
62', Joao Marcos ↓, Carter A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, David Bruno ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
73', Velazquez S. ↓, Alysson ↑,
73', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
73', Bastos L. ↓, Kamisasanuki M. ↑,
73', Dju M. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Pires M. ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
80', Martins D. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Bukia A. ⚽, Pires M. (A),
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Alverca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oliveirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alverca is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.25	Vizela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Alverca - Benfica B	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Feirense - Alverca	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Alverca - Torreense	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Penafiel - Alverca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWTL
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Oliveirense - Tondela	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Chaves - Oliveirense	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.24	Oliveirense - Alverca	1:4

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