Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Oliveirense		Tondela

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.9
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.7	3.4	1.97
	3.85	3.42	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	3.88	3.48	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	1.94 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
24.8%

Draw
27.5%

Tondela
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.3%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

27.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Oliveirense - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: Tondela will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Macedo N. (G) 25. Casimiro 75. Namora N. 13. Junior M. 26. Bastos L. 8. Santos A. 5. Filipe Alves (C) 79. Silva J. 21. Rodrigues A. 14. Bruno Silva 70. Ze Manuel	31. Bernardo (G) 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 6. Ceitil A. 48. Manso T. 26. Cunha N. 2. Bebeto 18. Talocha 11. Costinha 9. Miro 30. Ramos R.
Substitutes
1. Dabo R. (G) 7. Dju M. 96. Joanderson 32. Kamisasanuki M. 54. Martins S. 9. Monteiro M. 3. Noga G. 99. Sabino 30. Takahashi T.	23. Cascavel 97. Cicero 43. Joao Cesco 60. Maviram E. 70. Moudjatovic M. 21. Pedro Maranhao 17. Roberto 1. Souza G. (G) 3. Tavares D.
Coaches
Campos A. F.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Miro ↓, Roberto ↑,
62', Bebeto ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Dju M. ↑,
67', Santos A. ↓, Sabino ↑,
67', Ze Manuel ↓, Monteiro M. ↑,
71', Ramos R. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
83', Manso T. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Dju M. ⚽, Monteiro M. (A),
86', Sabino 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Costinha (Pen),
90+2', Manso T. ↓, Joao Cesco ↑,
90+2', Cunha N. ↓, Cicero ↑,
90+2', Casimiro 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 3, Pedro Maranhao ⚽, Maviram E. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 1.

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tondela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:14 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.25	Chaves - Oliveirense	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:1 ✺
03.03.25	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Feirense - Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLWLW
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.25	Tondela - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Leixões - Tondela	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Tondela - Torreense	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.24	Tondela - Oliveirense	2:0
04.05.24	Oliveirense - Tondela	2:1
30.12.23	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	2:3
Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0
19.10.22	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:3
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0

Upcoming Matches